Sertanense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 1
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
1DE
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
QUA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
SER
72%
19%
10%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 2
ADN
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 0
OPE
37%
26%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
ANA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |