Sertanense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
SPC
9%
19%
73%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
SER
77%
17%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 3
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
BEN
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
ORI
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
TOR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SIN
3 - 2
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
ALV
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |