Sertanense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SER
4 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ELE
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
FAT
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |