Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 3
OPE
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
7 - 1
GDA
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
BEN
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEN
29%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLE
87%
9%
3%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FAT
1 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |