Sertanense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 2
SER
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NAV
30%
26%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
SER
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
BEN
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 3
PAM
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 5
BEN
26%
25%
48%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 3
BEN
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |