Sertanense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
18%
24%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
OLE
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
RDA
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ANA
0 - 0
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
UDL
2 - 0
SOU
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
59%
20%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 4
BEN
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |