Sertanense vs Santa Iria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FAT
1 - 1
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SER
6 - 1
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
IRI
0 - 1
ALC
69%
17%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 1
IRI
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IRI
1 - 2
VIT
3%
8%
90%
|
20 | 77 | 57 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 3
IRI
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IRI
2 - 1
ATL
14%
19%
67%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | +5 |