Sertanense vs Ribeira Brava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
3 - 1
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
SER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
3 - 1
FAT
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAF
3 - 0
RIB
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
1DE
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RIB
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |