Sertanense vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
SER
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
TOR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
OEI
1 - 3
SER
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
PIN
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CFB
2 - 5
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
FAT
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
QUA
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 1
1DE
35%
27%
37%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUA
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 1
ORI
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |