Sertanense vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ADM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
VIT
28%
24%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |