Sertanense vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
UDL
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
SER
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ANM
1 - 3
SER
13%
18%
70%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ANM
1 - 5
OPE
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OPE
3 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IDE
1 - 0
OPE
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 2
BEN
42%
29%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
OLE
1 - 1
OPE
8%
18%
75%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |