Sertanense vs Oeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PIN
3 - 1
SER
42%
25%
32%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
CFB
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SER
4 - 2
RIB
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OEI
1 - 0
FAT
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAF
5 - 3
OEI
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OEI
0 - 0
1DE
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
OEI
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OEI
0 - 1
QUA
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |