Sertanense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
17%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
ADM
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |