Sertanense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SER
5 - 2
PEN
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ADM
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
ADM
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
NAV
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAV
27%
25%
47%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |