Sertanense vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
SER
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
ADM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PAM
0 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
3 - 2
CAR
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 0
NAV
15%
24%
62%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAM
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
NAV
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 1
NAV
23%
26%
52%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |