Sertanense vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 1
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 3
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
OLE
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
SER
23%
26%
52%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SER
3 - 0
PRA
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
CON
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
3 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |