Sertanense vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SER
0 - 0
OLH
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FCP
4 - 0
SER
93%
6%
1%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SER
0 - 4
FCP
3%
13%
84%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BOM
2 - 1
LOU
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
BMA
4 - 2
LOU
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
ACA
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
LOU
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PED
0 - 0
LOU
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |