Sertanense vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SER
3 - 1
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GDF
1 - 0
ORI
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RAB
0 - 2
GDF
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FAB
2 - 0
GDF
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRA
2 - 1
GDF
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GDF
4 - 1
FAB
73%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |