Sertanense vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.5%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
0.4%
3-2
<0%
+1
2.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
13.3%
84.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
19.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
21.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25.3%
0-3
16.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
18.1%
0-4
9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.3%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FCP
4 - 0
UDL
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPB
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAV
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |