Sertanense vs Estrela Vendas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
1DE
1 - 0
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
ORI
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SER
3 - 0
TOR
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MOU
3 - 0
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EVN
3 - 1
CAR
37%
26%
36%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
EVN
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
2 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
2 - 1
EVN
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 2
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |