Sertanense vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
16%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
MOR
40%
28%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
41%
29%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SER
0 - 1
RDA
41%
29%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 1
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
LEX
62%
23%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 2
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
ARO
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |