Sertanense vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 5
SER
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
SER
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
PEN
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 0
ADM
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
5 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +4 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CRA
69%
21%
10%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |