Sertanense vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
0 - 1
MAF
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
FAT
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 2
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 2
CAS
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |