Sertanense vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
ANM
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
SER
12%
17%
72%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
3%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
UDL
10%
19%
72%
|
23 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |