Sertanense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
TOU
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 3
FAT
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |