Sertanense vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
UDL
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ELE
0 - 0
SER
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ELE
0 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ELE
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAF
3 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ATL
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |