Sertanense vs Atlético Ouriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 2
SER
30%
24%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAF
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SER
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Ouriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |