Sertanense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
RAB
39%
29%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
9%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
ALC
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
VSC
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
REB
2 - 2
AMA
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ADM
0 - 1
AMA
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIA
55%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |