Sertanense vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
15%
23%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
IRI
1 - 1
SER
30%
22%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
SER
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
IRI
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
ALV
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALV
0 - 0
OLI
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 3
ALV
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 1
ALC
85%
10%
4%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |