Sertanense vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SER
6 - 1
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SER
5 - 0
FAV
80%
13%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADN
2 - 2
SER
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
ADM
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PRA
4 - 1
ALC
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 2
ALC
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
ADM
14%
18%
69%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 4
OSL
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
OLE
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |