Sertanense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADM
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 3
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
ADM
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 0
CRA
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |