Sertanense vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
TOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PAM
0 - 2
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 2
SER
83%
13%
5%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 3
BEN
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 3
ADM
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ADN
1 - 1
ADM
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 2
TOU
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
15%
23%
62%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | +1 |