Sertanense vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
SER
54%
25%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 4
VIL
16%
25%
59%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OLE
1 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
CAL
38%
29%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
1 - 0
ADN
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
1 - 0
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 0
ADN
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |