Serrano SC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SDJ
0 - 3
SER
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
JUA
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
FEI
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
CON
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
5 - 1
SER
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |