Serrano SC vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
SER
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
JAC
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
JUA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 3
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
39%
29%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |