Serrano SC vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 0
SER
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
ALA
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 1
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 3
BAH
11%
19%
70%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
JUA
3 - 3
SDJ
25%
23%
51%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
3 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SDJ
1 - 1
CFC
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VIT
4 - 0
SDJ
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SDJ
0 - 1
FEI
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |