Serrano SC vs Juazeiro BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
3 - 2
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Juazeiro BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
JUA
64%
21%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUA
0 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
5 - 0
JUA
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JUA
2 - 2
CFC
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |