Serrano SC vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
VIT
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
ARN
14%
22%
65%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JAC
2 - 1
BAH
11%
18%
72%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
JAC
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 2
SDJ
38%
24%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
JAC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |