Serrano SC vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
JUA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 2
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 0
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SDJ
3 - 3
JAC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JAC
0 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
JAC
27%
24%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
JAC
1 - 0
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 4
JAC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |