Serrano SC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SER
2 - 2
JUA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
JUA
2 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 2
SER
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GAC
0 - 0
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
BAH
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
AMF
0 - 1
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 2
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |