Serrano PE vs Decisão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 0
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AEB
3 - 0
SER
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SER
0 - 4
CAR
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MAI
6 - 1
SER
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
PET
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Decisão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SED
2 - 1
FEC
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
SED
1 - 2
ACA
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SED
0 - 3
SPO
4%
10%
87%
|
29 | 71 | 42 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
SED
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SED
0 - 5
CEN
20%
21%
58%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |