Rio Cup Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-2
Serrano FC vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
74%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
SFC
38%
27%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
30%
26%
43%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
SFC
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 2
CRA
67%
23%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOV
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
DEM
76%
18%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |