Serrano FC vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
PET
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 4
SFC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 1
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 1
GOY
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
FRI
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRI
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 1
FRI
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |