Serrano FC vs Nova Cidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 1
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
SFC
83%
13%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
BAR
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
0 - 1
NCI
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 2
PAD
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
2 - 0
NCI
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |