Serrano FC vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
SFC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
ANG
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAO
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 1
GOY
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BON
0 - 0
PET
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
2 - 0
BON
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BON
0 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
5 - 0
BON
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BON
1 - 4
OLA
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |