Rio Cup Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 2-1
Serrano FC vs Artsul FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
30%
26%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
SFC
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
OLA
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 1
SFC
50%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
CMA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Artsul FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
CAB
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
26%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
AME
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OLA
4 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
AUD
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |