Serrano FC vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
SFC
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
AFC
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SFC
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
AME
3 - 1
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 3
AME
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
PET
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
OLA
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |