Serracines vs CD Villa de Ajalvir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serracines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAF
4 - 1
SER
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SER
2 - 2
NAY
24%
19%
57%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIP
0 - 0
SER
60%
18%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FSF
0 - 1
SER
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
CDI
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villa de Ajalvir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAJ
2 - 1
ATL
16%
16%
68%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HEN
5 - 1
MAJ
61%
18%
21%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAJ
2 - 2
ATA
51%
21%
28%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DAG
4 - 2
MAJ
49%
20%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAJ
1 - 5
SES
53%
19%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |