Serra Talhada vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
YPI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
AME
3 - 2
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 3
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
PER
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VCR
0 - 0
ADJ
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ADJ
0 - 0
VCR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VCR
1 - 0
ARA
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |