Serra Talhada vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
SER
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 4
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 5
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |